Jeremy Siegel and Jeremy Schwartz claim there is a U.S. bond bubble: Ten years ago we experienced the biggest bubble in U.S. stock market ...

Does the new interest rate conundrum have you perplexed? Then try this article by Edward Hugh that delves into the debate between Niall Fe...

There has been a lot of debate as to how to interpret the rise in long-term interest rates, some of which I have noted here on this blog. ...

Martin Wolf has this to say about the rise in long-term interest rates that has the Fed puzzled and others worried : The jump in bond rate...

Over at Free Exchange the inversion of the Treasury yield curve prior to this current recession is being interpreted as the result of a dec...

The treasury yield curve spread--the interest rate on a long-term treasury minus the interest rate on a short term treasury--has been a good...

Just last week I had a post titled " The Interest Rate Conundrum that Wasn't " where I discussed how many observers misread th...

Thanks to the prompting of ECB , I was reminded of the interest rate " conundrum " of 2005-2006. The "conundrum" at this...

Here is an interesting article given my own research interest . Financial Market Perceptions of Recession Risk Thomas B. King, Andrew T. Lev...

So we now know that Big Ben is not upbeat about the economy. He testified before the Senate today that the ``outlook for the economy has wo...

Does economic distress increase religiosity and vice versa ? This is a question that first intrigued me back in 2001, during the last U.S. r...

Charles Goodhart and Luca Benati have a new paper on the yield curve where they "have investigated why the yield curve has appeared t...

In an earlier posting I showed that the nominal GDP growth rate minus the federal funds rate, called the policy rate gap, is an easy-to-use ...

A new paper by Glenn Rudebusch and John Williams shows that the yield curve spread is a better predictor of recessions than are professional...